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Gann Management Ltd- Celebrating 28 years of
continued success!
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Telephone 0161 285 4488 | Fax 0161 494 6432 | Email
info@gann.co.uk |
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21st January
2008 |
2008 - THE GREAT OPPORTUNITY IS UPON US!
From our last ‘WTFH’ 14-11-07
"The essential requirement in trading ranges
is to exit as markets fall as one day ,usually when least expected, support is
reached and then shattered followed by swift debilitating falls. Buyers are no
where to be found and without buyers you cannot sell those plummeting shares.
The only answer is cash as markets fall in trading ranges before reaching the
lows of the range. Of course, in rising markets corrections precede the time to
buy. Distinguishing between the two types of falls is often the demise of the
investor."
So here we are at the end of
January… support is being shattered, buyers are nowhere to be found and we
only have one small share which is rising! We are heavily into cash. Now is the
time to plan for the big opportunity.
It is not our practice to comment
on the following year in January as most others do but wait to the end of
January to assess the year ahead. The reason is that we like to see the
movements in January to use the 80% accurate January Thermometer.
There
is no need to wait for the 31st as it is abundantly clear with record falls so
far in January to clearly state that 2008 has an 80% chance of being a Bear
year. Should you take this seriously? If you are in doubt look at January moves
of last year. They clearly show a flat year and that’s exactly what you
got.
One of the great disappointments of modern
man is the lust for immediate gratification and the lack of concentration to
withdraw, study, plan and only then act. This is particularly relevant to the
investment business.
Last year was a time for reflection especially
when the January effect suggested a sideways move for western markets. January
moves this year are ominous for 2008 with the US having experienced the biggest
one day drop for the last 25 years.
The informed buyers are still
selling.. The bear view we hold would be compromised if the informed buyers
were to commence buying into a fall in the indices.
So
what for 2008?
SHORTING THE
MARKETS
There is a continuing build up of signs for a weak if not
disastrous year for equities. This bodes well for those willing and able to
short the markets and could see the Bulls suffer as in 2001 or probably even
worse than 2001. Our past record sees us in the hierarchy of bear traders over
the last 3 decades which should help our subscribers to prosper. If you are not
geared to short just yet do not despair. Where the break of the range in 2001
occurred it fell by 13% the rallied and was followed by a 30% drop. We will be
exercising patience and looking for those opportunities when all others will
think the panic is over.
INFLATION OPPORTUNITIES
Inflation is worryingly creeping
higher. We are currently covering this concern with our holdings of Inflation
Linked stocks. There will be further useful opportunities arising should
inflation take off.
INTERESTING
SECTORS
Our recent Sector analysis is starting to highlight the
Mining, Energy, Oil & Oil Services sectors with dozens of possible buy
signals along the line but not yet.
GOLD & GOLD
MINING STOCKS
Here again we expect a fall in the bullion price
down to 840 and then a resurgence for bullion and the mining stocks.
BANKS IN DISARRAY
If Banks are not willing
to lend to each other why is your money with them? We’ll show you the only
sound risk free alternative to storing under the bed. If you haven’t been
to one of our seminars recently you should get there quick before banks along
with those political crooks, in the public good of course, pull the plug from
under you.
COMMODITIES
We have been
returning profits of 20% and above over the last few years. There would still
seem to be further opportunities building up for 2008.
SUMMARY
Our current analysis is suggesting a difficult
year with long term cycles falling into place in March. Knowledgeable investors
could be in for a great year whilst the mass of investment guessers suffer.
Visit our seminars and take the first step to becoming an unemotional trading
machine…it will be the only way to float through the next few years as we
did in 2000/2003.
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© 2008 Gann Managament Ltd.
All Rights Reserved. Gann Management Limited is authorised and Regulated by the
Financial Services Authority.
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number: 616003878
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