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26th June 2006

EQUITIES - Knowing when to sell is far more important than buying!

During recent falls many investors have suffered far worse than the indices would suggest. Looking at the UK alone there have been dramatic losses of between 20% and 50% over a 3 week period.

Our approach is to adopt a strategy of great defense and not the often disastrous policy, followed by the vast majority, of always being invested.

As we are in the enviable position of being able to spotlight tops and bottoms before they develop our selling program triggered sales for 16 holdings dating from the 11th May (just 6 days from the top) and throughout May.

This ability to see trouble and then to act decisively to preserve capital is a rare quality.

Ask yourself how many times the financial industry tell you when to sell rather than when to buy...never ever is always the response I get when I ask the question. Why don’t they? Because they haven't a clue and even if they did they could not react.!

But now for the good news. After the fall, highly selective opportunities are developing. Investors who have suffered will not be in a frame of mind nor have the courage and confidence to pick up the bargains.

Our portfolios have been cleared out resulting in a 80% plus cash position allowing us to pick up 5 bargain buys all showing positive to date.

Why not join in? There are more in the pipeline.

BONDS, at crucial long term levels.

Our subscribers are well aware that during difficult times we hedge our position by holding inflation linked stocks. This time around this has not been an option with the Debt markets (Gilts, Bonds Etc) having a dreadful year to date.

However, UK Gilts are nearing crucial levels The centre angle on the chart emanates from the lows of the 1980’s which if broken suggests a drop down to the lower of the angles. Strength from here could present an opportunity. The implication in the event of a fall is that interest rates are to rise sharply...not a pleasant thought for all those indebted to the banks. The same scenario applies to US Bonds with a similar angle. Is this scary or an opportunity? Only time will tell




GOLD

now on support levels? Perpetual gold bugs along with most other investors have had a battering of late with a 25% fall in the bullion price. Many gold mines have suffering to an even greater extent.

The good news is that our analysis suggests a build up of support for gold related vehicles. Our buying program has re-commenced with some juicy looking morsels not too far away.

The Bullion chart confirms a continuing medium term upward with higher tops and bottoms. If there is a fall under 540 then the low will be penetrated when dumping gold would be imperative.

Know when to buy but also know when to sell.




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